SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Excelsior

12

Full time

AZ

Saturday, February 14, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.95

Implied 32.8%

Draw

3.59

Implied 26.8%

Away win

2.41

Implied 40.4%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHExcelsior vs AZ
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Excelsior: 3.24 (implied 0.297530)
Draw: 3.68 (implied 0.260960)
AZ: 2.21 (implied 0.441501)

TEAM STRENGTH

Excelsior: 17/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: relegation
AZ: 1/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: ucl

RECENT FORM

Excelsior last 5: 1W-4D-0L · trend D D D D W (oldest → newest)
AZ last 5: 1W-2D-2L · trend L D W L D (oldest → newest)
Excelsior avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
AZ avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Excelsior avg goals conceded last 10: 1.40
AZ avg goals conceded last 10: 1.80
Excelsior form quality: high (overall sample 10)
AZ form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Excelsior over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
AZ over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Excelsior BTTS rate last 10: 60%
AZ BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Excelsior clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 2
AZ clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Excelsior home form: 2W-2D-1L · 1.4 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
AZ away form: 1W-0D-4L · 1.2 GF / 2.2 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Excelsior home over 2.5 rate: 60%
AZ away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Excelsior home BTTS rate: 60%
AZ away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 5 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.200
Over 2.5 rate: 60%
BTTS rate: 60%
Excelsior W-D-L vs AZ: 1-2-2

MOTIVATION

AZ: defending UCL qualification (score 0.850)
Excelsior: currently in the relegation zone
AZ: relegation danger (close to drop)
AZ: defending UCL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: top vs bottom mismatch

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: yes
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available