SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Excelsior

11

Full time

AZ

Saturday, November 4, 2023 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

8.36

Implied 11.0%

Draw

5.33

Implied 17.5%

Away win

1.38

Implied 71.5%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHExcelsior vs AZ
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Excelsior: 8.03 (implied 0.114299)
Draw: 5.26 (implied 0.177557)
AZ: 1.39 (implied 0.708215)

TEAM STRENGTH

Excelsior: 17/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: relegation
AZ: 1/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: ucl

RECENT FORM

Excelsior last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend W W D L L (oldest → newest)
AZ last 5: 4W-1D-0L · trend W D W W W (oldest → newest)
Excelsior avg goals scored last 10: 1.70
AZ avg goals scored last 10: 2.60
Excelsior avg goals conceded last 10: 1.80
AZ avg goals conceded last 10: 0.60
Excelsior form quality: high (overall sample 10)
AZ form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Excelsior over 2.5 rate last 10: 80%
AZ over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Excelsior BTTS rate last 10: 70%
AZ BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Excelsior clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 2
AZ clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 0

VENUE PROFILE

Excelsior home form: 1W-3D-1L · 1.6 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
AZ away form: 5W-0D-0L · 2.6 GF / 0.4 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 40%
Excelsior home over 2.5 rate: 80%
AZ away over 2.5 rate: 80%
Excelsior home BTTS rate: 80%
AZ away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 2 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 4.000
Over 2.5 rate: 100%
BTTS rate: 50%
Excelsior W-D-L vs AZ: 1-0-1

MOTIVATION

AZ: defending UCL qualification (score 0.850)
Excelsior: currently in the relegation zone
AZ: relegation danger (close to drop)
AZ: defending UCL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: top vs bottom mismatch

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: yes
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available