SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Ajax

12

Full time

AZ

Sunday, October 8, 2023 - …
Head to head

Last 4 matches

Ajax0
Draws2
AZ2
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.43

Implied 40.2%

Draw

3.89

Implied 24.8%

Away win

2.78

Implied 35.0%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHAjax vs AZ
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Full-time result:
Ajax: 2.42 (implied 0.403877)
Draw: 3.90 (implied 0.247525)
AZ: 2.79 (implied 0.349040)

TEAM STRENGTH

Ajax: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual
AZ: 1/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: ucl

RECENT FORM

Ajax last 5: 1W-2D-2L · trend W D D L L (oldest → newest)
AZ last 5: 4W-1D-0L · trend W W W D W (oldest → newest)
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 1.40
AZ avg goals scored last 10: 2.90
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 1.90
AZ avg goals conceded last 10: 0.60
Ajax form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
AZ form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 80%
AZ over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 60%
AZ BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 4
AZ clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 0

VENUE PROFILE

Ajax home form: 3W-1D-1L · 2.0 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
AZ away form: 4W-1D-0L · 2.2 GF / 0.2 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 20%
Ajax home over 2.5 rate: 80%
AZ away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Ajax home BTTS rate: 60%
AZ away BTTS rate: 20%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 4 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.500
Over 2.5 rate: 75%
BTTS rate: 75%
Ajax W-D-L vs AZ: 0-2-2

MOTIVATION

Ajax: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
Ajax: relegation danger (close to drop)
Ajax: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: relegation danger (close to drop)
AZ: defending UCL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: both sides in European qualification places — direct race for continental football

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: yes
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available