SmartBettors

Eredivisie

AZ

11

Full time

Heracles Almelo

Thursday, September 28, 2023 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.21

Implied 81.8%

Draw

7.24

Implied 12.2%

Away win

13.98

Implied 6.1%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHAZ vs Heracles Almelo
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
AZ: 1.22 (implied 0.813008)
Draw: 7.14 (implied 0.123824)
Heracles Almelo: 13.46 (implied 0.063123)

TEAM STRENGTH

AZ: 1/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: ucl
Heracles Almelo: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

AZ last 5: 5W-0D-0L · trend W W W W W (oldest → newest)
Heracles Almelo last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend L W W L D (oldest → newest)
AZ avg goals scored last 10: 2.70
Heracles Almelo avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
AZ avg goals conceded last 10: 0.50
Heracles Almelo avg goals conceded last 10: 1.90
AZ form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Heracles Almelo form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

AZ over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Heracles Almelo over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
AZ BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Heracles Almelo BTTS rate last 10: 70%
AZ clean sheets last 10: 6 · failed to score: 1
Heracles Almelo clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

AZ home form: 4W-0D-1L · 3.2 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
Heracles Almelo away form: 1W-1D-3L · 0.8 GF / 2.0 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
AZ home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Heracles Almelo away over 2.5 rate: 40%
AZ home BTTS rate: 60%
Heracles Almelo away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 2 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 4.000
Over 2.5 rate: 100%
BTTS rate: 100%
AZ W-D-L vs Heracles Almelo: 1-0-1

MOTIVATION

AZ: defending UCL qualification (score 0.850)
AZ: relegation danger (close to drop)
AZ: defending UCL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available