SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Ajax

41

Full time

Heracles Almelo

Saturday, August 12, 2023 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.23

Implied 80.5%

Draw

7.68

Implied 11.5%

Away win

10.71

Implied 8.1%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHAjax vs Heracles Almelo
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Ajax: 1.21 (implied 0.816327)
Draw: 8.05 (implied 0.108909)
Heracles Almelo: 11.50 (implied 0.074538)

TEAM STRENGTH

Ajax: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual
Heracles Almelo: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Ajax last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend L D W W L (oldest → newest)
Heracles Almelo last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend W D L L L (oldest → newest)
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 2.00
Heracles Almelo avg goals scored last 10: 0.70
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Heracles Almelo avg goals conceded last 10: 1.70
Ajax form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Heracles Almelo form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 80%
Heracles Almelo over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Heracles Almelo BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 3
Heracles Almelo clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 4

VENUE PROFILE

Ajax home form: 3W-1D-1L · 2.4 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
Heracles Almelo away form: 2W-0D-3L · 0.6 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 0% · BTTS 0%
Ajax home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Heracles Almelo away over 2.5 rate: 0%
Ajax home BTTS rate: 60%
Heracles Almelo away BTTS rate: 0%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 2 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 1.500
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 0%
Ajax W-D-L vs Heracles Almelo: 1-1-0

MOTIVATION

Ajax: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
Ajax: relegation danger (close to drop)
Ajax: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available