SmartBettors

Eredivisie

AZ

40

Full time

Excelsior

Sunday, March 10, 2024 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.26

Implied 78.2%

Draw

6.48

Implied 13.9%

Away win

11.02

Implied 7.9%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHAZ vs Excelsior
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
AZ: 1.25 (implied 0.789889)
Draw: 6.63 (implied 0.135044)
Excelsior: 11.51 (implied 0.075324)

TEAM STRENGTH

AZ: 1/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: ucl
Excelsior: 17/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: relegation

RECENT FORM

AZ last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend L D W W D (oldest → newest)
Excelsior last 5: 0W-0D-5L · trend L L L L L (oldest → newest)
AZ avg goals scored last 10: 1.40
Excelsior avg goals scored last 10: 1.40
AZ avg goals conceded last 10: 1.40
Excelsior avg goals conceded last 10: 2.50
AZ form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Excelsior form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

AZ over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Excelsior over 2.5 rate last 10: 80%
AZ BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Excelsior BTTS rate last 10: 80%
AZ clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 3
Excelsior clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

AZ home form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.6 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 40%
Excelsior away form: 0W-0D-5L · 1.6 GF / 3.6 GA · O2.5 100% · BTTS 100%
AZ home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Excelsior away over 2.5 rate: 100%
AZ home BTTS rate: 40%
Excelsior away BTTS rate: 100%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.333
Over 2.5 rate: 67%
BTTS rate: 67%
AZ W-D-L vs Excelsior: 1-1-1

MOTIVATION

AZ: defending UCL qualification (score 0.850)
AZ: relegation danger (close to drop)
AZ: defending UCL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Excelsior: currently in the relegation zone
Stakes: top vs bottom mismatch

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: yes
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available