SmartBettors

Eredivisie

AZ

13

Full time

NEC Nijmegen

Saturday, January 31, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

AZ3
Draws1
NEC Nijmegen2
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.98

Implied 49.4%

Draw

3.92

Implied 24.4%

Away win

3.66

Implied 26.2%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHAZ vs NEC Nijmegen
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Full-time result:
AZ: 1.89 (implied 0.517063)
Draw: 4.04 (implied 0.235793)
NEC Nijmegen: 3.86 (implied 0.247219)

TEAM STRENGTH

AZ: 1/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: ucl
NEC Nijmegen: 3/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel qual

RECENT FORM

AZ last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend L W L D W (oldest → newest)
NEC Nijmegen last 5: 3W-2D-0L · trend W D D W W (oldest → newest)
AZ avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
NEC Nijmegen avg goals scored last 10: 2.40
AZ avg goals conceded last 10: 1.90
NEC Nijmegen avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60
AZ form quality: high (overall sample 10)
NEC Nijmegen form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

AZ over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 rate last 10: 80%
AZ BTTS rate last 10: 60%
NEC Nijmegen BTTS rate last 10: 80%
AZ clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 1
NEC Nijmegen clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

AZ home form: 2W-2D-1L · 1.8 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
NEC Nijmegen away form: 3W-1D-1L · 2.6 GF / 2.0 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
AZ home over 2.5 rate: 60%
NEC Nijmegen away over 2.5 rate: 80%
AZ home BTTS rate: 80%
NEC Nijmegen away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.125
Over 2.5 rate: 75%
BTTS rate: 63%
AZ W-D-L vs NEC Nijmegen: 4-2-2

MOTIVATION

AZ: defending UCL qualification (score 0.850)
AZ: relegation danger (close to drop)
AZ: defending UCL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
NEC Nijmegen: relegation danger (close to drop)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: both sides in European qualification places — direct race for continental football

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: yes
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available