SmartBettors

Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen

03

Full time

AZ

Sunday, April 28, 2024 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

3.23

Implied 29.8%

Draw

3.74

Implied 25.6%

Away win

2.19

Implied 44.5%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHNEC Nijmegen vs AZ
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
NEC Nijmegen: 3.26 (implied 0.295421)
Draw: 3.73 (implied 0.257069)
AZ: 2.18 (implied 0.447427)

TEAM STRENGTH

NEC Nijmegen: 3/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel qual
AZ: 1/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: ucl

RECENT FORM

NEC Nijmegen last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend L W D W D (oldest → newest)
AZ last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend W W L L W (oldest → newest)
NEC Nijmegen avg goals scored last 10: 2.00
AZ avg goals scored last 10: 1.90
NEC Nijmegen avg goals conceded last 10: 1.10
AZ avg goals conceded last 10: 1.40
NEC Nijmegen form quality: high (overall sample 10)
AZ form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
AZ over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
NEC Nijmegen BTTS rate last 10: 50%
AZ BTTS rate last 10: 40%
NEC Nijmegen clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 2
AZ clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

NEC Nijmegen home form: 4W-1D-0L · 2.4 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
AZ away form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.6 GF / 2.4 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
NEC Nijmegen home over 2.5 rate: 60%
AZ away over 2.5 rate: 80%
NEC Nijmegen home BTTS rate: 60%
AZ away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 5 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.800
Over 2.5 rate: 60%
BTTS rate: 80%
NEC Nijmegen W-D-L vs AZ: 1-2-2

MOTIVATION

NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL qualification (score 0.850)
NEC Nijmegen: relegation danger (close to drop)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: relegation danger (close to drop)
AZ: defending UCL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: both sides in European qualification places — direct race for continental football

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: yes
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available