SmartBettors

Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen

21

Full time

AZ

Sunday, September 28, 2025 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

3.42

Implied 28.0%

Draw

4.15

Implied 22.9%

Away win

1.99

Implied 49.1%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHNEC Nijmegen vs AZ
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
NEC Nijmegen: 3.37 (implied 0.284495)
Draw: 4.14 (implied 0.229938)
AZ: 2.01 (implied 0.485673)

TEAM STRENGTH

NEC Nijmegen: 3/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel qual
AZ: 1/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: ucl

RECENT FORM

NEC Nijmegen last 5: 2W-0D-3L · trend W W L L L (oldest → newest)
AZ last 5: 2W-3D-0L · trend D W W D D (oldest → newest)
NEC Nijmegen avg goals scored last 10: 2.90
AZ avg goals scored last 10: 2.50
NEC Nijmegen avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
AZ avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
NEC Nijmegen form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
AZ form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 rate last 10: 100%
AZ over 2.5 rate last 10: 80%
NEC Nijmegen BTTS rate last 10: 60%
AZ BTTS rate last 10: 90%
NEC Nijmegen clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 0
AZ clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 0

VENUE PROFILE

NEC Nijmegen home form: 3W-1D-1L · 3.0 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 40%
AZ away form: 4W-1D-0L · 2.2 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
NEC Nijmegen home over 2.5 rate: 80%
AZ away over 2.5 rate: 80%
NEC Nijmegen home BTTS rate: 40%
AZ away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.000
Over 2.5 rate: 63%
BTTS rate: 63%
NEC Nijmegen W-D-L vs AZ: 1-3-4

MOTIVATION

NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL qualification (score 0.850)
NEC Nijmegen: relegation danger (close to drop)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: relegation danger (close to drop)
AZ: defending UCL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: both sides in European qualification places — direct race for continental football

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: yes
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available