SmartBettors

Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen

22

Full time

Ajax

Saturday, December 20, 2025 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

NEC Nijmegen1
Draws2
Ajax3
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.17

Implied 44.9%

Draw

4.04

Implied 23.6%

Away win

3.06

Implied 31.5%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHNEC Nijmegen vs Ajax
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Full-time result:
NEC Nijmegen: 2.20 (implied 0.443262)
Draw: 4.09 (implied 0.233754)
Ajax: 2.99 (implied 0.322997)

TEAM STRENGTH

NEC Nijmegen: 3/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel qual
Ajax: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual

RECENT FORM

NEC Nijmegen last 5: 4W-1D-0L · trend W W W W D (oldest → newest)
Ajax last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend L L W W W (oldest → newest)
NEC Nijmegen avg goals scored last 10: 2.20
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 1.80
NEC Nijmegen avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 1.40
NEC Nijmegen form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Ajax form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
NEC Nijmegen BTTS rate last 10: 80%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 70%
NEC Nijmegen clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 1
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

NEC Nijmegen home form: 3W-1D-1L · 2.6 GF / 2.0 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
Ajax away form: 2W-2D-1L · 2.4 GF / 2.0 GA · O2.5 100% · BTTS 100%
NEC Nijmegen home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Ajax away over 2.5 rate: 100%
NEC Nijmegen home BTTS rate: 80%
Ajax away BTTS rate: 100%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.750
Over 2.5 rate: 63%
BTTS rate: 50%
NEC Nijmegen W-D-L vs Ajax: 1-2-5

MOTIVATION

NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL qualification (score 0.850)
NEC Nijmegen: relegation danger (close to drop)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Ajax: relegation danger (close to drop)
Ajax: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: both sides in European qualification places — direct race for continental football

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: yes
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available