SmartBettors

Eredivisie

AZ

11

Full time

Excelsior

Wednesday, January 21, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 4 matches

AZ2
Draws1
Excelsior1
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.36

Implied 72.5%

Draw

5.45

Implied 16.8%

Away win

8.40

Implied 10.7%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHAZ vs Excelsior
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Full-time result:
AZ: 1.31 (implied 0.753012)
Draw: 5.89 (implied 0.154154)
Excelsior: 9.51 (implied 0.093023)

TEAM STRENGTH

AZ: 1/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: ucl
Excelsior: 17/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: relegation

RECENT FORM

AZ last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend L D L W L (oldest → newest)
Excelsior last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend W L W L D (oldest → newest)
AZ avg goals scored last 10: 1.60
Excelsior avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
AZ avg goals conceded last 10: 1.90
Excelsior avg goals conceded last 10: 1.70
AZ form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Excelsior form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

AZ over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Excelsior over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
AZ BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Excelsior BTTS rate last 10: 60%
AZ clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 1
Excelsior clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

AZ home form: 3W-1D-1L · 2.0 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
Excelsior away form: 1W-1D-3L · 1.2 GF / 2.4 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
AZ home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Excelsior away over 2.5 rate: 80%
AZ home BTTS rate: 80%
Excelsior away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 4 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.500
Over 2.5 rate: 75%
BTTS rate: 50%
AZ W-D-L vs Excelsior: 2-1-1

MOTIVATION

AZ: defending UCL qualification (score 0.850)
AZ: relegation danger (close to drop)
AZ: defending UCL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Excelsior: currently in the relegation zone
Stakes: top vs bottom mismatch

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: yes
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available