SmartBettors

Eredivisie

AZ

11

Full time

Ajax

Sunday, February 8, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.51

Implied 38.7%

Draw

3.65

Implied 26.3%

Away win

2.77

Implied 35.0%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHAZ vs Ajax
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
AZ: 2.41 (implied 0.403551)
Draw: 3.68 (implied 0.260756)
Ajax: 2.88 (implied 0.335796)

TEAM STRENGTH

AZ: 1/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: ucl
Ajax: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual

RECENT FORM

AZ last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend W L D W L (oldest → newest)
Ajax last 5: 2W-3D-0L · trend D W D W D (oldest → newest)
AZ avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 2.00
AZ avg goals conceded last 10: 2.20
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
AZ form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Ajax form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

AZ over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
AZ BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 70%
AZ clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 1
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 0

VENUE PROFILE

AZ home form: 1W-2D-2L · 1.2 GF / 2.2 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
Ajax away form: 2W-2D-1L · 2.2 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 100% · BTTS 100%
AZ home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Ajax away over 2.5 rate: 100%
AZ home BTTS rate: 80%
Ajax away BTTS rate: 100%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.625
Over 2.5 rate: 63%
BTTS rate: 63%
AZ W-D-L vs Ajax: 5-3-0

MOTIVATION

AZ: defending UCL qualification (score 0.850)
AZ: relegation danger (close to drop)
AZ: defending UCL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Ajax: relegation danger (close to drop)
Ajax: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: both sides in European qualification places — direct race for continental football

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: yes
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available