SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Ajax

22

Full time

AZ

Sunday, March 16, 2025 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

Ajax0
Draws2
AZ4
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.98

Implied 49.3%

Draw

3.61

Implied 26.5%

Away win

3.95

Implied 24.2%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.88

Implied 51.7%

Under 2.5

2.01

Implied 48.3%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHAjax vs AZ
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.90 (implied 0.512295)
Under 2.5: 1.99 (implied 0.488043)
Full-time result:
Ajax: 2.02 (implied 0.483325)
Draw: 3.56 (implied 0.269107)
AZ: 3.86 (implied 0.247525)

TEAM STRENGTH

Ajax: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual
AZ: 1/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: ucl

RECENT FORM

Ajax last 5: 5W-0D-0L · trend W W W W W (oldest → newest)
AZ last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend L W W W L (oldest → newest)
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 2.10
AZ avg goals scored last 10: 1.40
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 0.20
AZ avg goals conceded last 10: 0.90
Ajax form quality: high (overall sample 10)
AZ form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
AZ over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 20%
AZ BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 8 · failed to score: 0
AZ clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Ajax home form: 5W-0D-0L · 2.6 GF / 0.4 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 40%
AZ away form: 2W-2D-1L · 1.4 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Ajax home over 2.5 rate: 80%
AZ away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Ajax home BTTS rate: 40%
AZ away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 7 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.571
Over 2.5 rate: 71%
BTTS rate: 71%
Ajax W-D-L vs AZ: 0-2-5

MOTIVATION

Ajax: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
Ajax: relegation danger (close to drop)
Ajax: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: relegation danger (close to drop)
AZ: defending UCL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: both sides in European qualification places — direct race for continental football

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: yes
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available