SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Ajax

40

Full time

Heracles Almelo

Sunday, February 16, 2025 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.33

Implied 74.2%

Draw

5.85

Implied 15.6%

Away win

8.78

Implied 10.2%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHAjax vs Heracles Almelo
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Ajax: 1.22 (implied 0.809717)
Draw: 7.32 (implied 0.118371)
Heracles Almelo: 11.61 (implied 0.072192)

TEAM STRENGTH

Ajax: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual
Heracles Almelo: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Ajax last 5: 5W-0D-0L · trend W W W W W (oldest → newest)
Heracles Almelo last 5: 2W-3D-0L · trend W D D D W (oldest → newest)
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 2.00
Heracles Almelo avg goals scored last 10: 1.50
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 0.70
Heracles Almelo avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Ajax form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Heracles Almelo form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Heracles Almelo over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Heracles Almelo BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 0
Heracles Almelo clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Ajax home form: 4W-1D-0L · 2.2 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
Heracles Almelo away form: 1W-1D-3L · 1.0 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 40%
Ajax home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Heracles Almelo away over 2.5 rate: 20%
Ajax home BTTS rate: 60%
Heracles Almelo away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 5 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 4.200
Over 2.5 rate: 80%
BTTS rate: 60%
Ajax W-D-L vs Heracles Almelo: 4-1-0

MOTIVATION

Ajax: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
Ajax: relegation danger (close to drop)
Ajax: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available