SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Excelsior

22

Full time

Ajax

Sunday, February 1, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

4.09

Implied 23.3%

Draw

3.95

Implied 24.1%

Away win

1.86

Implied 52.6%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHExcelsior vs Ajax
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Excelsior: 4.24 (implied 0.223764)
Draw: 4.02 (implied 0.236463)
Ajax: 1.81 (implied 0.539665)

TEAM STRENGTH

Excelsior: 17/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: relegation
Ajax: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual

RECENT FORM

Excelsior last 5: 1W-3D-1L · trend W L D D D (oldest → newest)
Ajax last 5: 3W-2D-0L · trend W D W D W (oldest → newest)
Excelsior avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 1.90
Excelsior avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Excelsior form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Ajax form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Excelsior over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Excelsior BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Excelsior clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 2
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 0

VENUE PROFILE

Excelsior home form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.2 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Ajax away form: 3W-1D-1L · 2.4 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 100% · BTTS 100%
Excelsior home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Ajax away over 2.5 rate: 100%
Excelsior home BTTS rate: 60%
Ajax away BTTS rate: 100%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 5 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 4.800
Over 2.5 rate: 100%
BTTS rate: 100%
Excelsior W-D-L vs Ajax: 1-2-2

MOTIVATION

Ajax: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
Excelsior: currently in the relegation zone
Ajax: relegation danger (close to drop)
Ajax: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available