SmartBettors

La Liga 2

Burgos

00

Full time

Almería

Saturday, May 9, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 5 matches

Burgos2
Draws0
Almería3
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.51

Implied 38.7%

Draw

3.17

Implied 30.4%

Away win

3.13

Implied 30.8%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.08

Implied 46.6%

Under 2.5

1.83

Implied 53.4%

Captured …

Predictions history

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Match briefing
MATCHBurgos vs Almería
LEAGUESpain · La Liga 2 · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.08 (implied 0.466418)
Under 2.5: 1.83 (implied 0.534188)
Full-time result:
Burgos: 2.61 (implied 0.372301)
Draw: 3.21 (implied 0.300752)
Almería: 2.96 (implied 0.327011)

TEAM STRENGTH

Burgos: league table unavailable
Almería: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Burgos last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend W W L D D (oldest → newest)
Almería last 5: 4W-0D-1L · trend W L W W W (oldest → newest)
Burgos avg goals scored last 10: 1.40
Almería avg goals scored last 10: 2.50
Burgos avg goals conceded last 10: 0.70
Almería avg goals conceded last 10: 1.80
Burgos form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Almería form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Burgos over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Almería over 2.5 rate last 10: 80%
Burgos BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Almería BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Burgos clean sheets last 10: 6 · failed to score: 2
Almería clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Burgos home form: 3W-2D-0L · 1.8 GF / 0.4 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 40%
Almería away form: 2W-0D-3L · 1.6 GF / 2.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Burgos home over 2.5 rate: 20%
Almería away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Burgos home BTTS rate: 40%
Almería away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 5 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.600
Over 2.5 rate: 40%
BTTS rate: 40%
Burgos W-D-L vs Almería: 2-0-3

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: 0 → 0 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: flat — stable handicap line
Line activity: 0 changes · 24/24 snapshot hours

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

League standings unavailable (no table context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5, Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.000)