SmartBettors

La Liga 2

Almería

20

Full time

Burgos

Saturday, October 5, 2024 - …
Head to head

Last 2 matches

Almería2
Draws0
Burgos0
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.65

Implied 59.3%

Draw

4.20

Implied 22.5%

Away win

5.16

Implied 18.2%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.83

Implied 52.4%

Under 2.5

2.01

Implied 47.6%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHAlmería vs Burgos
LEAGUESpain · La Liga 2 · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 42/42
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.83 (implied 0.524384)
Under 2.5: 2.01 (implied 0.475511)
Full-time result:
Almería: 1.65 (implied 0.594530)
Draw: 4.21 (implied 0.224467)
Burgos: 5.18 (implied 0.180930)

TEAM STRENGTH

Almería: 3/22 · 74 pts · GD +19 · 8 pts off leader · zone: promotion playoff
Burgos: 7/22 · 72 pts · GD +15 · 10 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Almería last 5: 0W-2D-3L · trend D L L D L (oldest → newest)
Burgos last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend L W W W D (oldest → newest)
Almería avg goals scored last 10: 1.80
Burgos avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
Almería avg goals conceded last 10: 2.00
Burgos avg goals conceded last 10: 1.00
Almería form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Burgos form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Almería over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Burgos over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Almería BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Burgos BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Almería clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 2
Burgos clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Almería home form: 1W-2D-2L · 2.2 GF / 2.2 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
Burgos away form: 2W-2D-1L · 1.2 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 40%
Almería home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Burgos away over 2.5 rate: 20%
Almería home BTTS rate: 80%
Burgos away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 2 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.000
Over 2.5 rate: 0%
BTTS rate: 0%
Almería W-D-L vs Burgos: 2-0-0

MOTIVATION

Almería: defending playoff spot

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5, Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available