SmartBettors

La Liga 2

Almería

20

Full time

Burgos

Sunday, November 7, 2021 -
Head to head

Recent matches

No prior finished matches between these teams before this kickoff.

Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.42

Implied 69.4%

Draw

4.73

Implied 19.9%

Away win

8.60

Implied 10.7%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.85

Implied 52.5%

Under 2.5

2.04

Implied 47.5%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHAlmería vs Burgos
LEAGUESpain · La Liga 2 · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 42/42
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.86 (implied 0.522739)
Under 2.5: 2.03 (implied 0.477783)
Full-time result:
Almería: 1.45 (implied 0.678887)
Draw: 4.52 (implied 0.208725)
Burgos: 8.20 (implied 0.112435)

TEAM STRENGTH

Almería: 3/22 · 74 pts · GD +19 · 8 pts off leader · zone: promotion playoff
Burgos: 7/22 · 72 pts · GD +15 · 10 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Almería last 5: 4W-0D-1L · trend L W W W W (oldest → newest)
Burgos last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend D W W L L (oldest → newest)
Almería avg goals scored last 10: 1.90
Burgos avg goals scored last 10: 1.00
Almería avg goals conceded last 10: 0.70
Burgos avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
Almería form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Burgos form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Almería over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Burgos over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Almería BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Burgos BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Almería clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 2
Burgos clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 5

VENUE PROFILE

Almería home form: 4W-1D-0L · 2.0 GF / 0.6 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Burgos away form: 1W-1D-3L · 1.0 GF / 2.0 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 40%
Almería home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Burgos away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Almería home BTTS rate: 60%
Burgos away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 0 (lookback 8 matches — no recent meetings)

MOTIVATION

Almería: defending playoff spot

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

No head-to-head data in our window
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: missing
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available