SmartBettors

La Liga 2

Burgos

31

Full time

Almería

Friday, March 21, 2025 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

3.37

Implied 28.6%

Draw

3.08

Implied 31.4%

Away win

2.43

Implied 40.0%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHBurgos vs Almería
LEAGUESpain · La Liga 2 · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 42/42
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Burgos: 3.36 (implied 0.286287)
Draw: 3.06 (implied 0.315358)
Almería: 2.44 (implied 0.398406)

TEAM STRENGTH

Burgos: 7/22 · 72 pts · GD +15 · 10 pts off leader
Almería: 3/22 · 74 pts · GD +19 · 8 pts off leader · zone: promotion playoff

RECENT FORM

Burgos last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend L L W W W (oldest → newest)
Almería last 5: 1W-3D-1L · trend D D D L W (oldest → newest)
Burgos avg goals scored last 10: 0.80
Almería avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Burgos avg goals conceded last 10: 0.80
Almería avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
Burgos form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Almería form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Burgos over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Almería over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Burgos BTTS rate last 10: 30%
Almería BTTS rate last 10: 80%
Burgos clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 3
Almería clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Burgos home form: 3W-0D-2L · 1.0 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Almería away form: 1W-1D-3L · 1.0 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Burgos home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Almería away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Burgos home BTTS rate: 40%
Almería away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.000
Over 2.5 rate: 0%
BTTS rate: 0%
Burgos W-D-L vs Almería: 0-0-3

MOTIVATION

Almería: defending playoff spot

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available