SmartBettors

La Liga 2

Almería

12

Full time

Burgos

Sunday, December 14, 2025 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.77

Implied 55.3%

Draw

3.58

Implied 26.6%

Away win

5.21

Implied 18.0%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHAlmería vs Burgos
LEAGUESpain · La Liga 2 · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 42/42
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Almería: 1.75 (implied 0.558971)
Draw: 3.60 (implied 0.264410)
Burgos: 5.31 (implied 0.176616)

TEAM STRENGTH

Almería: 3/22 · 74 pts · GD +19 · 8 pts off leader · zone: promotion playoff
Burgos: 7/22 · 72 pts · GD +15 · 10 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Almería last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend W D D L W (oldest → newest)
Burgos last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend W L L D L (oldest → newest)
Almería avg goals scored last 10: 1.70
Burgos avg goals scored last 10: 0.90
Almería avg goals conceded last 10: 0.60
Burgos avg goals conceded last 10: 0.70
Almería form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Burgos form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Almería over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Burgos over 2.5 rate last 10: 20%
Almería BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Burgos BTTS rate last 10: 30%
Almería clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 1
Burgos clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 5

VENUE PROFILE

Almería home form: 4W-1D-0L · 2.2 GF / 0.6 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 40%
Burgos away form: 2W-2D-1L · 1.0 GF / 0.6 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 40%
Almería home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Burgos away over 2.5 rate: 20%
Almería home BTTS rate: 40%
Burgos away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 4 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.500
Over 2.5 rate: 25%
BTTS rate: 25%
Almería W-D-L vs Burgos: 3-0-1

MOTIVATION

Almería: defending playoff spot

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available