SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Ajax

22

Full time

NEC Nijmegen

Sunday, February 18, 2024 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.51

Implied 65.2%

Draw

5.03

Implied 18.8%

Away win

5.86

Implied 16.0%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHAjax vs NEC Nijmegen
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Ajax: 1.44 (implied 0.684932)
Draw: 5.42 (implied 0.172831)
NEC Nijmegen: 6.53 (implied 0.142430)

TEAM STRENGTH

Ajax: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual
NEC Nijmegen: 3/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel qual

RECENT FORM

Ajax last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend W W W D L (oldest → newest)
NEC Nijmegen last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend D W D W L (oldest → newest)
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 2.80
NEC Nijmegen avg goals scored last 10: 1.90
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
NEC Nijmegen avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
Ajax form quality: high (overall sample 10)
NEC Nijmegen form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 90%
NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 90%
NEC Nijmegen BTTS rate last 10: 80%
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 0
NEC Nijmegen clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Ajax home form: 3W-2D-0L · 2.8 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
NEC Nijmegen away form: 2W-2D-1L · 1.8 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
Ajax home over 2.5 rate: 80%
NEC Nijmegen away over 2.5 rate: 80%
Ajax home BTTS rate: 80%
NEC Nijmegen away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 5 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.400
Over 2.5 rate: 40%
BTTS rate: 40%
Ajax W-D-L vs NEC Nijmegen: 4-1-0

MOTIVATION

Ajax: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
Ajax: relegation danger (close to drop)
Ajax: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
NEC Nijmegen: relegation danger (close to drop)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: both sides in European qualification places — direct race for continental football

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: yes
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available