SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Ajax

10

Full time

NEC Nijmegen

Sunday, March 5, 2023 - …
Head to head

Last 3 matches

Ajax2
Draws1
NEC Nijmegen0
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.21

Implied 81.6%

Draw

7.32

Implied 12.1%

Away win

13.41

Implied 6.3%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHAjax vs NEC Nijmegen
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Full-time result:
Ajax: 1.22 (implied 0.811688)
Draw: 7.22 (implied 0.122669)
NEC Nijmegen: 13.04 (implied 0.065496)

TEAM STRENGTH

Ajax: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual
NEC Nijmegen: 3/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel qual

RECENT FORM

Ajax last 5: 5W-0D-0L · trend W W W W W (oldest → newest)
NEC Nijmegen last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend D L D W W (oldest → newest)
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 2.40
NEC Nijmegen avg goals scored last 10: 1.70
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 0.90
NEC Nijmegen avg goals conceded last 10: 0.70
Ajax form quality: high (overall sample 10)
NEC Nijmegen form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 70%
NEC Nijmegen BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 1
NEC Nijmegen clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 4

VENUE PROFILE

Ajax home form: 2W-3D-0L · 2.0 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
NEC Nijmegen away form: 2W-1D-2L · 0.8 GF / 0.6 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 0%
Ajax home over 2.5 rate: 60%
NEC Nijmegen away over 2.5 rate: 20%
Ajax home BTTS rate: 60%
NEC Nijmegen away BTTS rate: 0%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.667
Over 2.5 rate: 33%
BTTS rate: 33%
Ajax W-D-L vs NEC Nijmegen: 2-1-0

MOTIVATION

Ajax: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
Ajax: relegation danger (close to drop)
Ajax: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
NEC Nijmegen: relegation danger (close to drop)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: both sides in European qualification places — direct race for continental football

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: yes
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available