SmartBettors

Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen

01

Full time

Ajax

Saturday, April 23, 2022 -
Head to head
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

13.43

Implied 6.3%

Draw

7.30

Implied 12.1%

Away win

1.21

Implied 81.6%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHNEC Nijmegen vs Ajax
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
NEC Nijmegen: 13.04 (implied 0.065484)
Draw: 7.14 (implied 0.124100)
Ajax: 1.22 (implied 0.810373)

TEAM STRENGTH

NEC Nijmegen: 3/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel qual
Ajax: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual

RECENT FORM

NEC Nijmegen last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend L L D W L (oldest → newest)
Ajax last 5: 5W-0D-0L · trend W W W W W (oldest → newest)
NEC Nijmegen avg goals scored last 10: 1.10
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 2.60
NEC Nijmegen avg goals conceded last 10: 2.00
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 1.10
NEC Nijmegen form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Ajax form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 90%
NEC Nijmegen BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 70%
NEC Nijmegen clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 2
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 0

VENUE PROFILE

NEC Nijmegen home form: 0W-2D-3L · 0.6 GF / 2.0 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Ajax away form: 4W-0D-1L · 2.0 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
NEC Nijmegen home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Ajax away over 2.5 rate: 80%
NEC Nijmegen home BTTS rate: 60%
Ajax away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 1 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 5.000
Over 2.5 rate: 100%
BTTS rate: 0%
NEC Nijmegen W-D-L vs Ajax: 0-0-1

MOTIVATION

NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL qualification (score 0.850)
NEC Nijmegen: relegation danger (close to drop)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Ajax: relegation danger (close to drop)
Ajax: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: both sides in European qualification places — direct race for continental football

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: yes
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available