SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Ajax

40

Full time

Sparta Rotterdam

Sunday, February 19, 2023 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.22

Implied 80.8%

Draw

6.74

Implied 13.2%

Away win

14.20

Implied 6.0%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHAjax vs Sparta Rotterdam
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Ajax: 1.22 (implied 0.807103)
Draw: 6.71 (implied 0.132521)
Sparta Rotterdam: 14.02 (implied 0.060610)

TEAM STRENGTH

Ajax: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual
Sparta Rotterdam: 10/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader

RECENT FORM

Ajax last 5: 3W-2D-0L · trend D D W W W (oldest → newest)
Sparta Rotterdam last 5: 2W-3D-0L · trend W D D D W (oldest → newest)
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 2.10
Sparta Rotterdam avg goals scored last 10: 1.50
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Sparta Rotterdam avg goals conceded last 10: 0.40
Ajax form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Sparta Rotterdam form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Sparta Rotterdam over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 80%
Sparta Rotterdam BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 1
Sparta Rotterdam clean sheets last 10: 6 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Ajax home form: 1W-3D-1L · 1.4 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
Sparta Rotterdam away form: 2W-3D-0L · 1.6 GF / 0.2 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 20%
Ajax home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Sparta Rotterdam away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Ajax home BTTS rate: 80%
Sparta Rotterdam away BTTS rate: 20%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 1.667
Over 2.5 rate: 33%
BTTS rate: 33%
Ajax W-D-L vs Sparta Rotterdam: 3-0-0

MOTIVATION

Ajax: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
Ajax: relegation danger (close to drop)
Ajax: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Sparta Rotterdam: relegation danger (close to drop)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available