SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Excelsior

14

Full time

Ajax

Sunday, January 29, 2023 -
Head to head
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

10.53

Implied 8.3%

Draw

6.65

Implied 13.5%

Away win

1.26

Implied 78.2%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHExcelsior vs Ajax
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Excelsior: 10.63 (implied 0.081947)
Draw: 6.92 (implied 0.129082)
Ajax: 1.25 (implied 0.789266)

TEAM STRENGTH

Excelsior: 17/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: relegation
Ajax: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual

RECENT FORM

Excelsior last 5: 2W-0D-3L · trend L W L W L (oldest → newest)
Ajax last 5: 0W-5D-0L · trend D D D D D (oldest → newest)
Excelsior avg goals scored last 10: 0.90
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 2.40
Excelsior avg goals conceded last 10: 2.00
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 1.40
Excelsior form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Ajax form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Excelsior over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Excelsior BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 90%
Excelsior clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 3
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Excelsior home form: 3W-0D-2L · 1.0 GF / 0.6 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 20%
Ajax away form: 2W-3D-0L · 2.6 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 100%
Excelsior home over 2.5 rate: 20%
Ajax away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Excelsior home BTTS rate: 20%
Ajax away BTTS rate: 100%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 1 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 8.000
Over 2.5 rate: 100%
BTTS rate: 100%
Excelsior W-D-L vs Ajax: 0-0-1

MOTIVATION

Ajax: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
Excelsior: currently in the relegation zone
Ajax: relegation danger (close to drop)
Ajax: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available