SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Excelsior

03

Full time

NEC Nijmegen

Sunday, February 19, 2023 - …
Head to head

Last match

Excelsior0
Draws1
NEC Nijmegen0
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

3.41

Implied 28.4%

Draw

3.57

Implied 27.1%

Away win

2.20

Implied 44.5%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.84

Implied 53.0%

Under 2.5

2.06

Implied 47.1%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHExcelsior vs NEC Nijmegen
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.85 (implied 0.527426)
Under 2.5: 2.05 (implied 0.473037)
Full-time result:
Excelsior: 3.34 (implied 0.290360)
Draw: 3.55 (implied 0.272702)
NEC Nijmegen: 2.24 (implied 0.437254)

TEAM STRENGTH

Excelsior: 17/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: relegation
NEC Nijmegen: 3/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel qual

RECENT FORM

Excelsior last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend W L L D L (oldest → newest)
NEC Nijmegen last 5: 1W-2D-2L · trend W L D L D (oldest → newest)
Excelsior avg goals scored last 10: 0.60
NEC Nijmegen avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Excelsior avg goals conceded last 10: 2.00
NEC Nijmegen avg goals conceded last 10: 1.00
Excelsior form quality: high (overall sample 10)
NEC Nijmegen form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Excelsior over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Excelsior BTTS rate last 10: 30%
NEC Nijmegen BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Excelsior clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 5
NEC Nijmegen clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 5

VENUE PROFILE

Excelsior home form: 2W-1D-2L · 0.8 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 20%
NEC Nijmegen away form: 1W-1D-3L · 0.2 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 0%
Excelsior home over 2.5 rate: 20%
NEC Nijmegen away over 2.5 rate: 20%
Excelsior home BTTS rate: 20%
NEC Nijmegen away BTTS rate: 0%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 1 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.000
Over 2.5 rate: 0%
BTTS rate: 100%
Excelsior W-D-L vs NEC Nijmegen: 0-1-0

MOTIVATION

NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL qualification (score 0.850)
Excelsior: currently in the relegation zone
NEC Nijmegen: relegation danger (close to drop)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: top vs bottom mismatch

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: yes
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available