SmartBettors

Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen

12

Full time

Ajax

Sunday, December 3, 2023 - …
Head to head

Last 4 matches

NEC Nijmegen0
Draws1
Ajax3
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

4.46

Implied 21.4%

Draw

4.51

Implied 21.1%

Away win

1.71

Implied 57.5%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHNEC Nijmegen vs Ajax
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Full-time result:
NEC Nijmegen: 4.43 (implied 0.215471)
Draw: 4.49 (implied 0.212540)
Ajax: 1.72 (implied 0.572082)

TEAM STRENGTH

NEC Nijmegen: 3/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel qual
Ajax: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual

RECENT FORM

NEC Nijmegen last 5: 0W-5D-0L · trend D D D D D (oldest → newest)
Ajax last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend L W W D W (oldest → newest)
NEC Nijmegen avg goals scored last 10: 1.70
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 2.00
NEC Nijmegen avg goals conceded last 10: 1.70
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 2.10
NEC Nijmegen form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Ajax form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 80%
NEC Nijmegen BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 60%
NEC Nijmegen clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 1
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

NEC Nijmegen home form: 1W-3D-1L · 1.8 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
Ajax away form: 0W-2D-3L · 1.6 GF / 2.8 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
NEC Nijmegen home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Ajax away over 2.5 rate: 80%
NEC Nijmegen home BTTS rate: 80%
Ajax away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 4 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.250
Over 2.5 rate: 25%
BTTS rate: 25%
NEC Nijmegen W-D-L vs Ajax: 0-1-3

MOTIVATION

NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL qualification (score 0.850)
NEC Nijmegen: relegation danger (close to drop)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Ajax: relegation danger (close to drop)
Ajax: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: both sides in European qualification places — direct race for continental football

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: yes
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available