SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Heracles Almelo

24

Full time

Ajax

Saturday, January 27, 2024 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

6.08

Implied 15.4%

Draw

4.66

Implied 20.3%

Away win

1.53

Implied 64.3%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHHeracles Almelo vs Ajax
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Heracles Almelo: 6.80 (implied 0.136724)
Draw: 4.87 (implied 0.193349)
Ajax: 1.47 (implied 0.669792)

TEAM STRENGTH

Heracles Almelo: league table unavailable
Ajax: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual

RECENT FORM

Heracles Almelo last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend L L L W D (oldest → newest)
Ajax last 5: 4W-1D-0L · trend W W D W W (oldest → newest)
Heracles Almelo avg goals scored last 10: 1.10
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 2.90
Heracles Almelo avg goals conceded last 10: 2.40
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Heracles Almelo form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Ajax form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Heracles Almelo over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 90%
Heracles Almelo BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 80%
Heracles Almelo clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 5
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 0

VENUE PROFILE

Heracles Almelo home form: 0W-2D-3L · 0.6 GF / 2.8 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 40%
Ajax away form: 3W-1D-1L · 2.4 GF / 2.4 GA · O2.5 100% · BTTS 100%
Heracles Almelo home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Ajax away over 2.5 rate: 100%
Heracles Almelo home BTTS rate: 40%
Ajax away BTTS rate: 100%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.667
Over 2.5 rate: 67%
BTTS rate: 33%
Heracles Almelo W-D-L vs Ajax: 0-1-2

MOTIVATION

Ajax: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
Ajax: relegation danger (close to drop)
Ajax: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available