SmartBettors

Ligue 1

Toulouse

03

Full time

Lens

Friday, January 2, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

Toulouse1
Draws1
Lens4
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.65

Implied 36.8%

Draw

3.27

Implied 29.7%

Away win

2.91

Implied 33.5%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.09

Implied 46.6%

Under 2.5

1.83

Implied 53.4%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHToulouse vs Lens
LEAGUEFrance · Ligue 1 · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.99 (implied 0.490436)
Under 2.5: 1.92 (implied 0.509944)
Full-time result:
Toulouse: 2.53 (implied 0.386250)
Draw: 3.40 (implied 0.285307)
Lens: 2.96 (implied 0.328839)

TEAM STRENGTH

Toulouse: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel
Lens: 4/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: ucl qual

RECENT FORM

Toulouse last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend D L D W W (oldest → newest)
Lens last 5: 5W-0D-0L · trend W W W W W (oldest → newest)
Toulouse avg goals scored last 10: 1.50
Lens avg goals scored last 10: 2.00
Toulouse avg goals conceded last 10: 0.80
Lens avg goals conceded last 10: 0.80
Toulouse form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Lens form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Toulouse over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Lens over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Toulouse BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Lens BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Toulouse clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 3
Lens clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Toulouse home form: 2W-2D-1L · 1.4 GF / 0.6 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 20%
Lens away form: 4W-0D-1L · 2.0 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
Toulouse home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Lens away over 2.5 rate: 80%
Toulouse home BTTS rate: 20%
Lens away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 6 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.000
Over 2.5 rate: 33%
BTTS rate: 33%
Toulouse W-D-L vs Lens: 1-1-4

MOTIVATION

Toulouse: defending UEL qualification (score 0.850)
Toulouse: relegation danger (close to drop)
Toulouse: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Toulouse: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Lens: relegation danger (close to drop)
Lens: defending UCL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Lens: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Lens: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: both sides in European qualification places — direct race for continental football

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: yes
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5, Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available