SmartBettors

Ligue 1

Lens

21

Full time

Toulouse

Sunday, September 24, 2023 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.59

Implied 62.1%

Draw

4.30

Implied 22.4%

Away win

6.09

Implied 15.6%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.85

Implied 53.0%

Under 2.5

2.07

Implied 47.1%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHLens vs Toulouse
LEAGUEFrance · Ligue 1 · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.85 (implied 0.529661)
Under 2.5: 2.07 (implied 0.470588)
Full-time result:
Lens: 1.63 (implied 0.604595)
Draw: 4.19 (implied 0.229463)
Toulouse: 5.73 (implied 0.166362)

TEAM STRENGTH

Lens: 4/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: ucl qual
Toulouse: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel

RECENT FORM

Lens last 5: 0W-1D-4L · trend L D L L L (oldest → newest)
Toulouse last 5: 1W-3D-1L · trend W D L D D (oldest → newest)
Lens avg goals scored last 10: 1.70
Toulouse avg goals scored last 10: 0.80
Lens avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Toulouse avg goals conceded last 10: 0.80
Lens form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Toulouse form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Lens over 2.5 rate last 10: 80%
Toulouse over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Lens BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Toulouse BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Lens clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 2
Toulouse clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 5

VENUE PROFILE

Lens home form: 3W-1D-1L · 1.6 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Toulouse away form: 2W-2D-1L · 0.8 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Lens home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Toulouse away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Lens home BTTS rate: 60%
Toulouse away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 2 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.000
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 0%
Lens W-D-L vs Toulouse: 2-0-0

MOTIVATION

Lens: defending UCL qualification (score 0.850)
Lens: relegation danger (close to drop)
Lens: defending UCL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Lens: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Lens: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Toulouse: relegation danger (close to drop)
Toulouse: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Toulouse: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: both sides in European qualification places — direct race for continental football

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: yes
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available