SmartBettors

Ligue 1

Lorient

11

Full time

Toulouse

Sunday, November 9, 2025 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

3.26

Implied 29.8%

Draw

3.25

Implied 29.9%

Away win

2.42

Implied 40.4%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.07

Implied 46.8%

Under 2.5

1.83

Implied 53.3%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHLorient vs Toulouse
LEAGUEFrance · Ligue 1 · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.07 (implied 0.467508)
Under 2.5: 1.83 (implied 0.533049)
Full-time result:
Lorient: 3.17 (implied 0.306185)
Draw: 3.32 (implied 0.291971)
Toulouse: 2.43 (implied 0.402253)

TEAM STRENGTH

Lorient: 18/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: relegation
Toulouse: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel

RECENT FORM

Lorient last 5: 0W-2D-3L · trend L D L D L (oldest → newest)
Toulouse last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend W W L D D (oldest → newest)
Lorient avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
Toulouse avg goals scored last 10: 1.60
Lorient avg goals conceded last 10: 2.40
Toulouse avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Lorient form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Toulouse form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Lorient over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Toulouse over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Lorient BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Toulouse BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Lorient clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 4
Toulouse clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Lorient home form: 2W-2D-1L · 2.4 GF / 2.4 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
Toulouse away form: 2W-0D-3L · 0.8 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Lorient home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Toulouse away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Lorient home BTTS rate: 80%
Toulouse away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 4 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.500
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 75%
Lorient W-D-L vs Toulouse: 0-2-2

MOTIVATION

Toulouse: defending UEL qualification (score 0.850)
Lorient: currently in the relegation zone
Toulouse: relegation danger (close to drop)
Toulouse: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Toulouse: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available