SmartBettors

Ligue 1

Toulouse

11

Full time

Lorient

Sunday, December 3, 2023 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.88

Implied 52.3%

Draw

3.61

Implied 26.7%

Away win

4.56

Implied 21.0%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.01

Implied 48.4%

Under 2.5

1.89

Implied 51.6%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHToulouse vs Lorient
LEAGUEFrance · Ligue 1 · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.02 (implied 0.482160)
Under 2.5: 1.88 (implied 0.518135)
Full-time result:
Toulouse: 1.93 (implied 0.507614)
Draw: 3.57 (implied 0.270270)
Lorient: 4.31 (implied 0.222668)

TEAM STRENGTH

Toulouse: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel
Lorient: 18/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: relegation

RECENT FORM

Toulouse last 5: 0W-2D-3L · trend D L L D L (oldest → newest)
Lorient last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend W L D L L (oldest → newest)
Toulouse avg goals scored last 10: 1.00
Lorient avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Toulouse avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
Lorient avg goals conceded last 10: 2.20
Toulouse form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Lorient form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Toulouse over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Lorient over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Toulouse BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Lorient BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Toulouse clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 3
Lorient clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 5

VENUE PROFILE

Toulouse home form: 1W-3D-1L · 1.6 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
Lorient away form: 0W-1D-4L · 1.2 GF / 2.6 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 40%
Toulouse home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Lorient away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Toulouse home BTTS rate: 80%
Lorient away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 2 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.500
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 50%
Toulouse W-D-L vs Lorient: 1-1-0

MOTIVATION

Toulouse: defending UEL qualification (score 0.850)
Toulouse: relegation danger (close to drop)
Toulouse: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Toulouse: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Lorient: currently in the relegation zone

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available