SmartBettors

Ligue 1

Olympique Marseille

22

Full time

Toulouse

Saturday, November 29, 2025 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.68

Implied 58.6%

Draw

4.06

Implied 23.4%

Away win

5.26

Implied 17.9%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.85

Implied 52.7%

Under 2.5

2.05

Implied 47.3%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHOlympique Marseille vs Toulouse
LEAGUEFrance · Ligue 1 · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.85 (implied 0.527426)
Under 2.5: 2.05 (implied 0.473037)
Full-time result:
Olympique Marseille: 1.65 (implied 0.593824)
Draw: 4.05 (implied 0.234467)
Toulouse: 5.47 (implied 0.171703)

TEAM STRENGTH

Olympique Marseille: 1/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: ucl
Toulouse: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel

RECENT FORM

Olympique Marseille last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend L D W W W (oldest → newest)
Toulouse last 5: 0W-3D-2L · trend L D D D L (oldest → newest)
Olympique Marseille avg goals scored last 10: 2.80
Toulouse avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Olympique Marseille avg goals conceded last 10: 0.80
Toulouse avg goals conceded last 10: 1.10
Olympique Marseille form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Toulouse form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Olympique Marseille over 2.5 rate last 10: 80%
Toulouse over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Olympique Marseille BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Toulouse BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Olympique Marseille clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 0
Toulouse clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 4

VENUE PROFILE

Olympique Marseille home form: 4W-1D-0L · 3.2 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 40%
Toulouse away form: 1W-1D-3L · 0.8 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Olympique Marseille home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Toulouse away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Olympique Marseille home BTTS rate: 40%
Toulouse away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 6 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 4.167
Over 2.5 rate: 83%
BTTS rate: 83%
Olympique Marseille W-D-L vs Toulouse: 4-2-0

MOTIVATION

Olympique Marseille: defending UCL qualification (score 0.850)
Olympique Marseille: relegation danger (close to drop)
Olympique Marseille: defending UCL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Olympique Marseille: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Olympique Marseille: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Toulouse: relegation danger (close to drop)
Toulouse: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Toulouse: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: both sides in European qualification places — direct race for continental football

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: yes
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available