SmartBettors

Ligue 1

Toulouse

22

Full time

Olympique Marseille

Sunday, April 21, 2024 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.62

Implied 37.3%

Draw

3.33

Implied 29.2%

Away win

2.90

Implied 33.6%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.04

Implied 47.8%

Under 2.5

1.87

Implied 52.3%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHToulouse vs Olympique Marseille
LEAGUEFrance · Ligue 1 · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.04 (implied 0.477555)
Under 2.5: 1.87 (implied 0.522739)
Full-time result:
Toulouse: 2.57 (implied 0.379939)
Draw: 3.34 (implied 0.290444)
Olympique Marseille: 2.95 (implied 0.329924)

TEAM STRENGTH

Toulouse: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel
Olympique Marseille: 1/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: ucl

RECENT FORM

Toulouse last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend L L W D W (oldest → newest)
Olympique Marseille last 5: 2W-0D-3L · trend W W L L L (oldest → newest)
Toulouse avg goals scored last 10: 1.80
Olympique Marseille avg goals scored last 10: 1.50
Toulouse avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Olympique Marseille avg goals conceded last 10: 1.40
Toulouse form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Olympique Marseille form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Toulouse over 2.5 rate last 10: 80%
Olympique Marseille over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Toulouse BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Olympique Marseille BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Toulouse clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 2
Olympique Marseille clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 4

VENUE PROFILE

Toulouse home form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.6 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
Olympique Marseille away form: 1W-0D-4L · 1.2 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Toulouse home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Olympique Marseille away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Toulouse home BTTS rate: 80%
Olympique Marseille away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 4.000
Over 2.5 rate: 67%
BTTS rate: 67%
Toulouse W-D-L vs Olympique Marseille: 0-1-2

MOTIVATION

Toulouse: defending UEL qualification (score 0.850)
Toulouse: relegation danger (close to drop)
Toulouse: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Toulouse: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Olympique Marseille: relegation danger (close to drop)
Olympique Marseille: defending UCL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Olympique Marseille: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Olympique Marseille: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: both sides in European qualification places — direct race for continental football

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: yes
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available