SmartBettors

Championship

Southampton

21

Full time

Derby County

Saturday, April 11, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last match

Southampton0
Draws1
Derby County0
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.61

Implied 61.1%

Draw

4.21

Implied 22.4%

Away win

5.63

Implied 16.5%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.82

Implied 52.8%

Under 2.5

2.02

Implied 47.2%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHSouthampton vs Derby County
LEAGUEEngland · Championship · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.82 (implied 0.527983)
Under 2.5: 2.02 (implied 0.472144)
Full-time result:
Southampton: 1.68 (implied 0.585138)
Draw: 4.03 (implied 0.234852)
Derby County: 5.20 (implied 0.180180)

TEAM STRENGTH

Southampton: league table unavailable
Derby County: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Southampton last 5: 5W-0D-0L · trend W W W W W (oldest → newest)
Derby County last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend L W W L W (oldest → newest)
Southampton avg goals scored last 10: 2.30
Derby County avg goals scored last 10: 1.50
Southampton avg goals conceded last 10: 0.60
Derby County avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Southampton form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Derby County form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Southampton over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Derby County over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Southampton BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Derby County BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Southampton clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 0
Derby County clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Southampton home form: 4W-1D-0L · 2.2 GF / 0.4 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Derby County away form: 1W-0D-4L · 1.0 GF / 2.0 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Southampton home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Derby County away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Southampton home BTTS rate: 40%
Derby County away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 1 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.000
Over 2.5 rate: 0%
BTTS rate: 100%
Southampton W-D-L vs Derby County: 0-1-0

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
League standings unavailable (no table context)
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: not available