SmartBettors

Championship

Derby County

11

Full time

Southampton

Saturday, October 4, 2025 - …
Head to head

Recent matches

No prior finished matches between these teams before this kickoff.

Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

3.60

Implied 26.7%

Draw

3.40

Implied 28.3%

Away win

2.17

Implied 45.0%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.05

Implied 46.5%

Under 2.5

1.80

Implied 53.4%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHDerby County vs Southampton
LEAGUEEngland · Championship · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.05 (implied 0.465333)
Under 2.5: 1.80 (implied 0.534474)
Full-time result:
Derby County: 3.50 (implied 0.274348)
Draw: 3.33 (implied 0.288767)
Southampton: 2.23 (implied 0.436872)

TEAM STRENGTH

Derby County: league table unavailable
Southampton: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Derby County last 5: 1W-3D-1L · trend D W L D D (oldest → newest)
Southampton last 5: 1W-2D-2L · trend D L L D W (oldest → newest)
Derby County avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Southampton avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
Derby County avg goals conceded last 10: 1.70
Southampton avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Derby County form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Southampton form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Derby County over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Southampton over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Derby County BTTS rate last 10: 80%
Southampton BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Derby County clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 1
Southampton clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Derby County home form: 0W-3D-2L · 1.0 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 60%
Southampton away form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.8 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 100% · BTTS 80%
Derby County home over 2.5 rate: 20%
Southampton away over 2.5 rate: 100%
Derby County home BTTS rate: 60%
Southampton away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 0 (lookback 8 matches — no recent meetings)

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

No head-to-head data in our window
League standings unavailable (no table context)
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: missing
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: not available