SmartBettors

Championship

Millwall

10

Full time

Derby County

Tuesday, March 10, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 5 matches

Millwall2
Draws3
Derby County0
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.05

Implied 47.7%

Draw

3.55

Implied 27.0%

Away win

3.79

Implied 25.3%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.01

Implied 48.3%

Under 2.5

1.88

Implied 51.7%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHMillwall vs Derby County
LEAGUEEngland · Championship · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.98 (implied 0.490677)
Under 2.5: 1.91 (implied 0.509684)
Full-time result:
Millwall: 2.07 (implied 0.471476)
Draw: 3.54 (implied 0.270709)
Derby County: 3.71 (implied 0.257865)

TEAM STRENGTH

Millwall: league table unavailable
Derby County: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Millwall last 5: 4W-0D-1L · trend W L W W W (oldest → newest)
Derby County last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend W L L W W (oldest → newest)
Millwall avg goals scored last 10: 2.10
Derby County avg goals scored last 10: 1.90
Millwall avg goals conceded last 10: 0.80
Derby County avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Millwall form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Derby County form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Millwall over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Derby County over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Millwall BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Derby County BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Millwall clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 0
Derby County clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Millwall home form: 3W-1D-1L · 2.2 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
Derby County away form: 3W-0D-2L · 2.0 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 40%
Millwall home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Derby County away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Millwall home BTTS rate: 60%
Derby County away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 5 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.000
Over 2.5 rate: 20%
BTTS rate: 80%
Millwall W-D-L vs Derby County: 2-3-0

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

League standings unavailable (no table context)
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: not available