SmartBettors

Championship

Derby County

20

Full time

Swansea City

Saturday, February 14, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 5 matches

Derby County1
Draws1
Swansea City3
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.55

Implied 38.1%

Draw

3.33

Implied 28.9%

Away win

2.93

Implied 33.0%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHDerby County vs Swansea City
LEAGUEEngland · Championship · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Full-time result:
Derby County: 2.57 (implied 0.378358)
Draw: 3.24 (implied 0.297974)
Swansea City: 2.99 (implied 0.323729)

TEAM STRENGTH

Derby County: league table unavailable
Swansea City: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Derby County last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend W W D W L (oldest → newest)
Swansea City last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend D W L W W (oldest → newest)
Derby County avg goals scored last 10: 1.50
Swansea City avg goals scored last 10: 1.50
Derby County avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Swansea City avg goals conceded last 10: 0.80
Derby County form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Swansea City form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Derby County over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Swansea City over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Derby County BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Swansea City BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Derby County clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 0
Swansea City clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Derby County home form: 1W-1D-3L · 1.0 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
Swansea City away form: 2W-0D-3L · 1.0 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Derby County home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Swansea City away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Derby County home BTTS rate: 80%
Swansea City away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 5 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.000
Over 2.5 rate: 60%
BTTS rate: 60%
Derby County W-D-L vs Swansea City: 1-1-3

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

League standings unavailable (no table context)
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: not available