SmartBettors

Championship

Derby County

11

Full time

Millwall

Wednesday, December 10, 2025 - …
Head to head

Last 4 matches

Derby County0
Draws2
Millwall2
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.80

Implied 34.6%

Draw

3.20

Implied 30.1%

Away win

2.75

Implied 35.2%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHDerby County vs Millwall
LEAGUEEngland · Championship · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Full-time result:
Derby County: 2.73 (implied 0.355492)
Draw: 3.16 (implied 0.305717)
Millwall: 2.86 (implied 0.338868)

TEAM STRENGTH

Derby County: league table unavailable
Millwall: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Derby County last 5: 2W-0D-3L · trend W L W L L (oldest → newest)
Millwall last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend D L W W W (oldest → newest)
Derby County avg goals scored last 10: 1.50
Millwall avg goals scored last 10: 1.40
Derby County avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
Millwall avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
Derby County form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Millwall form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Derby County over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Millwall over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Derby County BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Millwall BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Derby County clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 1
Millwall clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Derby County home form: 3W-0D-2L · 1.4 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Millwall away form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.2 GF / 2.0 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
Derby County home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Millwall away over 2.5 rate: 80%
Derby County home BTTS rate: 60%
Millwall away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 4 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.000
Over 2.5 rate: 25%
BTTS rate: 75%
Derby County W-D-L vs Millwall: 0-2-2

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
League standings unavailable (no table context)
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: not available