SmartBettors

Championship

Derby County

01

Full time

Millwall

Saturday, February 22, 2025 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.53

Implied 38.4%

Draw

2.91

Implied 33.2%

Away win

3.39

Implied 28.4%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHDerby County vs Millwall
LEAGUEEngland · Championship · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Derby County: 2.51 (implied 0.387297)
Draw: 2.95 (implied 0.327869)
Millwall: 3.38 (implied 0.284900)

TEAM STRENGTH

Derby County: league table unavailable
Millwall: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Derby County last 5: 0W-2D-3L · trend L L D D L (oldest → newest)
Millwall last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend W W L D D (oldest → newest)
Derby County avg goals scored last 10: 0.50
Millwall avg goals scored last 10: 1.40
Derby County avg goals conceded last 10: 1.70
Millwall avg goals conceded last 10: 1.10
Derby County form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Millwall form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Derby County over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Millwall over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Derby County BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Millwall BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Derby County clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 6
Millwall clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Derby County home form: 0W-1D-4L · 0.0 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 0% · BTTS 0%
Millwall away form: 3W-1D-1L · 1.2 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 40%
Derby County home over 2.5 rate: 0%
Millwall away over 2.5 rate: 20%
Derby County home BTTS rate: 0%
Millwall away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.333
Over 2.5 rate: 33%
BTTS rate: 100%
Derby County W-D-L vs Millwall: 0-2-1

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
League standings unavailable (no table context)
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: not available