SmartBettors

Championship

Derby County

10

Full time

Birmingham City

Saturday, March 21, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 3 matches

Derby County0
Draws2
Birmingham City1
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.80

Implied 34.6%

Draw

3.42

Implied 28.2%

Away win

2.61

Implied 37.2%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.98

Implied 48.9%

Under 2.5

1.90

Implied 51.1%

Captured …

Predictions history

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Match briefing
MATCHDerby County vs Birmingham City
LEAGUEEngland · Championship · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.99 (implied 0.488043)
Under 2.5: 1.90 (implied 0.512295)
Full-time result:
Derby County: 2.82 (implied 0.343643)
Draw: 3.39 (implied 0.284252)
Birmingham City: 2.61 (implied 0.372162)

TEAM STRENGTH

Derby County: league table unavailable
Birmingham City: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Derby County last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend L W W L W (oldest → newest)
Birmingham City last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend L L L W D (oldest → newest)
Derby County avg goals scored last 10: 1.70
Birmingham City avg goals scored last 10: 1.00
Derby County avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Birmingham City avg goals conceded last 10: 1.10
Derby County form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Birmingham City form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Derby County over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Birmingham City over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Derby County BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Birmingham City BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Derby County clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 2
Birmingham City clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Derby County home form: 3W-1D-1L · 1.8 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
Birmingham City away form: 3W-0D-2L · 1.2 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 20%
Derby County home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Birmingham City away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Derby County home BTTS rate: 80%
Birmingham City away BTTS rate: 20%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.667
Over 2.5 rate: 33%
BTTS rate: 67%
Derby County W-D-L vs Birmingham City: 0-2-1

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
League standings unavailable (no table context)
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: not available