SmartBettors

Championship

Birmingham City

11

Full time

Derby County

Friday, December 26, 2025 - …
Head to head

Last 2 matches

Birmingham City1
Draws1
Derby County0
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.92

Implied 51.0%

Draw

3.50

Implied 27.3%

Away win

4.38

Implied 21.7%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.08

Implied 46.6%

Under 2.5

1.83

Implied 53.4%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHBirmingham City vs Derby County
LEAGUEEngland · Championship · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.08 (implied 0.466418)
Under 2.5: 1.83 (implied 0.534188)
Full-time result:
Birmingham City: 1.91 (implied 0.512295)
Draw: 3.47 (implied 0.275938)
Derby County: 4.48 (implied 0.211864)

TEAM STRENGTH

Birmingham City: league table unavailable
Derby County: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Birmingham City last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend W L L D L (oldest → newest)
Derby County last 5: 1W-2D-2L · trend L L D W D (oldest → newest)
Birmingham City avg goals scored last 10: 1.90
Derby County avg goals scored last 10: 1.80
Birmingham City avg goals conceded last 10: 1.40
Derby County avg goals conceded last 10: 1.40
Birmingham City form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Derby County form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Birmingham City over 2.5 rate last 10: 80%
Derby County over 2.5 rate last 10: 80%
Birmingham City BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Derby County BTTS rate last 10: 90%
Birmingham City clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 1
Derby County clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 0

VENUE PROFILE

Birmingham City home form: 4W-1D-0L · 3.0 GF / 0.6 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
Derby County away form: 4W-0D-1L · 2.2 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 100% · BTTS 80%
Birmingham City home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Derby County away over 2.5 rate: 100%
Birmingham City home BTTS rate: 60%
Derby County away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 2 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.000
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 50%
Birmingham City W-D-L vs Derby County: 1-1-0

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
League standings unavailable (no table context)
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5, Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: not available