SmartBettors

Ligue 1

Toulouse

01

Full time

Olympique Marseille

Saturday, March 7, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

3.33

Implied 29.1%

Draw

3.54

Implied 27.4%

Away win

2.25

Implied 43.5%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.84

Implied 53.0%

Under 2.5

2.06

Implied 47.1%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHToulouse vs Olympique Marseille
LEAGUEFrance · Ligue 1 · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.84 (implied 0.529661)
Under 2.5: 2.06 (implied 0.470810)
Full-time result:
Toulouse: 3.40 (implied 0.284576)
Draw: 3.71 (implied 0.260213)
Olympique Marseille: 2.15 (implied 0.455581)

TEAM STRENGTH

Toulouse: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel
Olympique Marseille: 1/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: ucl

RECENT FORM

Toulouse last 5: 0W-2D-3L · trend D L L D L (oldest → newest)
Olympique Marseille last 5: 1W-2D-2L · trend D L D L W (oldest → newest)
Toulouse avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
Olympique Marseille avg goals scored last 10: 1.60
Toulouse avg goals conceded last 10: 0.90
Olympique Marseille avg goals conceded last 10: 1.90
Toulouse form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Olympique Marseille form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Toulouse over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Olympique Marseille over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Toulouse BTTS rate last 10: 30%
Olympique Marseille BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Toulouse clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 4
Olympique Marseille clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 4

VENUE PROFILE

Toulouse home form: 2W-2D-1L · 1.4 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Olympique Marseille away form: 1W-1D-3L · 1.4 GF / 2.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 40%
Toulouse home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Olympique Marseille away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Toulouse home BTTS rate: 40%
Olympique Marseille away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 7 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 4.143
Over 2.5 rate: 86%
BTTS rate: 86%
Toulouse W-D-L vs Olympique Marseille: 0-3-4

MOTIVATION

Toulouse: defending UEL qualification (score 0.850)
Toulouse: relegation danger (close to drop)
Toulouse: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Toulouse: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Olympique Marseille: relegation danger (close to drop)
Olympique Marseille: defending UCL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Olympique Marseille: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Olympique Marseille: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: both sides in European qualification places — direct race for continental football

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: yes
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available