SmartBettors

Allsvenskan

Mjällby

11

Full time

Värnamo

Wednesday, September 25, 2024 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.97

Implied 49.6%

Draw

3.59

Implied 26.7%

Away win

4.02

Implied 23.7%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.98

Implied 49.1%

Under 2.5

1.91

Implied 51.0%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHMjällby vs Värnamo
LEAGUESweden · Allsvenskan · 2026 · mid season · matchday 10/30
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.98 (implied 0.489476)
Under 2.5: 1.90 (implied 0.510986)
Full-time result:
Mjällby: 1.97 (implied 0.495786)
Draw: 3.59 (implied 0.266525)
Värnamo: 4.01 (implied 0.237643)

TEAM STRENGTH

Mjällby: 6/16 · 15 pts · GD +3 · 13 pts off leader
Värnamo: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Mjällby last 5: 2W-3D-0L · trend D W W D D (oldest → newest)
Värnamo last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend L D L L W (oldest → newest)
Mjällby avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
Värnamo avg goals scored last 10: 0.80
Mjällby avg goals conceded last 10: 1.40
Värnamo avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60
Mjällby form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Värnamo form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Mjällby over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Värnamo over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Mjällby BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Värnamo BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Mjällby clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 3
Värnamo clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 5

VENUE PROFILE

Mjällby home form: 4W-1D-0L · 2.2 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 100%
Värnamo away form: 0W-2D-3L · 0.4 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 40%
Mjällby home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Värnamo away over 2.5 rate: 20%
Mjällby home BTTS rate: 100%
Värnamo away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 5 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.800
Over 2.5 rate: 60%
BTTS rate: 80%
Mjällby W-D-L vs Värnamo: 2-1-2

MOTIVATION

Mjällby: chasing UECL qualification (score 0.758)
Mjällby: chasing UECL qualification (3 pts to line)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: mid season
Season certainty: 0.85 (mid season — solid baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available