SmartBettors

Allsvenskan

Mjällby

23

Full time

Värnamo

Sunday, October 1, 2023 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.52

Implied 38.8%

Draw

3.17

Implied 30.6%

Away win

3.17

Implied 30.6%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.07

Implied 46.6%

Under 2.5

1.82

Implied 53.4%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHMjällby vs Värnamo
LEAGUESweden · Allsvenskan · 2026 · mid season · matchday 10/30
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.07 (implied 0.466200)
Under 2.5: 1.82 (implied 0.533903)
Full-time result:
Mjällby: 2.52 (implied 0.387597)
Draw: 3.17 (implied 0.306373)
Värnamo: 3.17 (implied 0.306373)

TEAM STRENGTH

Mjällby: 6/16 · 15 pts · GD +3 · 13 pts off leader
Värnamo: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Mjällby last 5: 2W-0D-3L · trend L L W W L (oldest → newest)
Värnamo last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend W D W W L (oldest → newest)
Mjällby avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Värnamo avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Mjällby avg goals conceded last 10: 1.10
Värnamo avg goals conceded last 10: 0.80
Mjällby form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Värnamo form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Mjällby over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Värnamo over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Mjällby BTTS rate last 10: 20%
Värnamo BTTS rate last 10: 30%
Mjällby clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 4
Värnamo clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Mjällby home form: 1W-0D-4L · 0.4 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 20%
Värnamo away form: 3W-1D-1L · 2.0 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
Mjällby home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Värnamo away over 2.5 rate: 80%
Mjällby home BTTS rate: 20%
Värnamo away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.000
Over 2.5 rate: 33%
BTTS rate: 67%
Mjällby W-D-L vs Värnamo: 1-1-1

MOTIVATION

Mjällby: chasing UECL qualification (score 0.758)
Mjällby: chasing UECL qualification (3 pts to line)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: mid season
Season certainty: 0.85 (mid season — solid baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available