SmartBettors

Allsvenskan

Värnamo

21

Full time

Mjällby

Monday, October 3, 2022 -
Head to head
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

3.01

Implied 32.3%

Draw

3.29

Implied 29.5%

Away win

2.56

Implied 38.2%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.05

Implied 47.1%

Under 2.5

1.83

Implied 52.9%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHVärnamo vs Mjällby
LEAGUESweden · Allsvenskan · 2026 · mid season · matchday 10/30
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.05 (implied 0.470588)
Under 2.5: 1.83 (implied 0.529381)
Full-time result:
Värnamo: 3.01 (implied 0.322997)
Draw: 3.31 (implied 0.292997)
Mjällby: 2.54 (implied 0.384468)

TEAM STRENGTH

Värnamo: league table unavailable
Mjällby: 6/16 · 15 pts · GD +3 · 13 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Värnamo last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend D L W W W (oldest → newest)
Mjällby last 5: 1W-3D-1L · trend D W L D D (oldest → newest)
Värnamo avg goals scored last 10: 1.50
Mjällby avg goals scored last 10: 0.90
Värnamo avg goals conceded last 10: 2.00
Mjällby avg goals conceded last 10: 1.00
Värnamo form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Mjällby form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Värnamo over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Mjällby over 2.5 rate last 10: 20%
Värnamo BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Mjällby BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Värnamo clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 2
Mjällby clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Värnamo home form: 2W-2D-1L · 1.4 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Mjällby away form: 2W-2D-1L · 0.6 GF / 0.4 GA · O2.5 0% · BTTS 20%
Värnamo home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Mjällby away over 2.5 rate: 0%
Värnamo home BTTS rate: 60%
Mjällby away BTTS rate: 20%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 1 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.000
Over 2.5 rate: 0%
BTTS rate: 100%
Värnamo W-D-L vs Mjällby: 0-1-0

MOTIVATION

Mjällby: chasing UECL qualification (score 0.758)
Mjällby: chasing UECL qualification (3 pts to line)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: mid season
Season certainty: 0.85 (mid season — solid baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available