SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Heracles Almelo

10

Full time

AZ

Sunday, April 13, 2025 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

4.20

Implied 22.6%

Draw

3.78

Implied 25.2%

Away win

1.88

Implied 52.1%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.85

Implied 52.5%

Under 2.5

2.04

Implied 47.5%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHHeracles Almelo vs AZ
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.84 (implied 0.529661)
Under 2.5: 2.06 (implied 0.470810)
Full-time result:
Heracles Almelo: 4.34 (implied 0.218866)
Draw: 3.86 (implied 0.247097)
AZ: 1.83 (implied 0.534188)

TEAM STRENGTH

Heracles Almelo: league table unavailable
AZ: 1/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: ucl

RECENT FORM

Heracles Almelo last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend W L D W D (oldest → newest)
AZ last 5: 0W-3D-2L · trend L D D D L (oldest → newest)
Heracles Almelo avg goals scored last 10: 1.40
AZ avg goals scored last 10: 1.40
Heracles Almelo avg goals conceded last 10: 1.40
AZ avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
Heracles Almelo form quality: high (overall sample 10)
AZ form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Heracles Almelo over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
AZ over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Heracles Almelo BTTS rate last 10: 70%
AZ BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Heracles Almelo clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 3
AZ clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Heracles Almelo home form: 3W-2D-0L · 2.4 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 100%
AZ away form: 1W-3D-1L · 1.6 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Heracles Almelo home over 2.5 rate: 60%
AZ away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Heracles Almelo home BTTS rate: 100%
AZ away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 5 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.200
Over 2.5 rate: 60%
BTTS rate: 60%
Heracles Almelo W-D-L vs AZ: 2-1-2

MOTIVATION

AZ: defending UCL qualification (score 0.850)
AZ: relegation danger (close to drop)
AZ: defending UCL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
AZ: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5, Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available