SmartBettors

Serie A

Fiorentina

11

Full time

AC Milan

Sunday, January 11, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

Fiorentina2
Draws1
AC Milan3
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

3.50

Implied 27.6%

Draw

3.31

Implied 29.3%

Away win

2.27

Implied 43.1%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.91

Implied 51.2%

Under 2.5

2.00

Implied 48.8%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHFiorentina vs AC Milan
LEAGUEItaly · Serie A · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/38
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.91 (implied 0.512295)
Under 2.5: 2.00 (implied 0.488043)
Full-time result:
Fiorentina: 3.57 (implied 0.271150)
Draw: 3.30 (implied 0.293945)
AC Milan: 2.25 (implied 0.435350)

TEAM STRENGTH

Fiorentina: 4/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader
AC Milan: 5/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader

RECENT FORM

Fiorentina last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend L W L W D (oldest → newest)
AC Milan last 5: 3W-2D-0L · trend W D W W D (oldest → newest)
Fiorentina avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
AC Milan avg goals scored last 10: 1.50
Fiorentina avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
AC Milan avg goals conceded last 10: 0.80
Fiorentina form quality: high (overall sample 10)
AC Milan form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Fiorentina over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
AC Milan over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Fiorentina BTTS rate last 10: 60%
AC Milan BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Fiorentina clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 3
AC Milan clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Fiorentina home form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.6 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
AC Milan away form: 3W-1D-1L · 1.4 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Fiorentina home over 2.5 rate: 40%
AC Milan away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Fiorentina home BTTS rate: 60%
AC Milan away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.625
Over 2.5 rate: 75%
BTTS rate: 75%
Fiorentina W-D-L vs AC Milan: 2-1-5

MOTIVATION

Stakes: mid-table — little league-wide motivation for either side

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: yes

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available