SmartBettors

Serie A

Fiorentina

21

Full time

AC Milan

Saturday, March 4, 2023 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.88

Implied 34.0%

Draw

3.25

Implied 30.1%

Away win

2.73

Implied 35.9%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.99

Implied 47.8%

Under 2.5

1.83

Implied 52.2%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHFiorentina vs AC Milan
LEAGUEItaly · Serie A · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/38
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.99 (implied 0.478011)
Under 2.5: 1.83 (implied 0.521921)
Full-time result:
Fiorentina: 2.76 (implied 0.355114)
Draw: 3.28 (implied 0.297796)
AC Milan: 2.82 (implied 0.347343)

TEAM STRENGTH

Fiorentina: 4/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader
AC Milan: 5/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader

RECENT FORM

Fiorentina last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend W L L D W (oldest → newest)
AC Milan last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend L L W W W (oldest → newest)
Fiorentina avg goals scored last 10: 1.10
AC Milan avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Fiorentina avg goals conceded last 10: 1.00
AC Milan avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Fiorentina form quality: high (overall sample 10)
AC Milan form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Fiorentina over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
AC Milan over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Fiorentina BTTS rate last 10: 50%
AC Milan BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Fiorentina clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 3
AC Milan clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Fiorentina home form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.0 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
AC Milan away form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.0 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 40%
Fiorentina home over 2.5 rate: 40%
AC Milan away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Fiorentina home BTTS rate: 60%
AC Milan away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.667
Over 2.5 rate: 67%
BTTS rate: 67%
Fiorentina W-D-L vs AC Milan: 1-0-2

MOTIVATION

Stakes: mid-table — little league-wide motivation for either side

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: yes

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available