SmartBettors

Serie A

AC Milan

22

Full time

Fiorentina

Saturday, April 5, 2025 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

AC Milan4
Draws0
Fiorentina2
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.92

Implied 51.2%

Draw

3.66

Implied 26.4%

Away win

4.28

Implied 22.4%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.88

Implied 52.1%

Under 2.5

2.03

Implied 48.0%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHAC Milan vs Fiorentina
LEAGUEItaly · Serie A · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/38
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.88 (implied 0.521648)
Under 2.5: 2.04 (implied 0.478698)
Full-time result:
AC Milan: 1.92 (implied 0.512295)
Draw: 3.66 (implied 0.263435)
Fiorentina: 4.27 (implied 0.224820)

TEAM STRENGTH

AC Milan: 5/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader
Fiorentina: 4/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader

RECENT FORM

AC Milan last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend L W W L D (oldest → newest)
Fiorentina last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend L W L W W (oldest → newest)
AC Milan avg goals scored last 10: 1.60
Fiorentina avg goals scored last 10: 1.40
AC Milan avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
Fiorentina avg goals conceded last 10: 0.90
AC Milan form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Fiorentina form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

AC Milan over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Fiorentina over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
AC Milan BTTS rate last 10: 80%
Fiorentina BTTS rate last 10: 40%
AC Milan clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 0
Fiorentina clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

AC Milan home form: 3W-1D-1L · 1.6 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
Fiorentina away form: 1W-0D-4L · 1.0 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
AC Milan home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Fiorentina away over 2.5 rate: 80%
AC Milan home BTTS rate: 80%
Fiorentina away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 7 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.000
Over 2.5 rate: 71%
BTTS rate: 71%
AC Milan W-D-L vs Fiorentina: 4-0-3

MOTIVATION

Stakes: mid-table — little league-wide motivation for either side

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: yes

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available